FAQ

OverEdge is a small football + data team. We turn recent-form stats into simple, explained picks.

• Daily: 2 free Over/Under 2.5 Goals picks with confidence % and reasoning.
• Pro: a deeper board across Top-5 European leagues + UEFA/FIFA fixtures with multiple markets.
• Everything is driven by recent-form metrics (last 5/10/15), goals for/against, and team trends.

Pro Board shows today’s fixtures from Top-5 leagues (England, Spain, Italy, Germany, France), their second tiers, cups, and UEFA/FIFA—grouped by competition—with:

• Markets: Over/Under Goals, BTTS, 1X2, Corners & Cards.
• Confidence % and short reasoning based on the last 5/10/15 games.
• Filters so you can scan quickly for value.

Hero Pick of the Day is a single higher-odds value shot (target odds ≈ 2.00) chosen from the same scope when the data fits our confidence band. If there’s no solid candidate, we’ll say so.

1. Go to Account and sign in with Google.
2. Open Pricing and choose Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, or Yearly.
3. Complete checkout via Stripe. Return to Account and click Refresh status if needed.

You can cancel anytime from your Stripe customer portal.

Accuracy varies by slate and season—football is volatile. We show a confidence % for every suggestion so you can judge risk.

• Free picks come from fixtures with stronger recent-form signals (O/U 2.5).
• Hero Pick aims for odds ≈ 2.00 and will have more variance by design.

We’ll surface rolling performance tracking as the dataset grows. Use our numbers as one input—not the only one.

Short version:

• Model Probability = the chance of an outcome based only on data (recent form, GF/GA, trends). It answers: “How often does this usually happen?”
• Pick Confidence = how strongly our model recommends the side to bet, after weighing the matchup and the alternatives. It answers: “Which side should I actually back?”

Example: If Over 2.5 shows Model Probability 75%, that means in similar games 3+ goals happened about 3 of 4 times. But if the book price or matchup context tilts value the other way, our Pick Confidence might still favor Under—because the bet is about expected edge, not just raw frequency.

Why both numbers? Model probability tells you the baseline likelihood; pick confidence tells you the practical recommendation. Seeing both helps you calibrate risk and choose when to follow or pass.

No—there are no guarantees. Our content is data-driven analysis, not financial advice. Please bet responsibly, only what you can afford to lose, and follow local laws (18+ or legal age).

Questions? overedgestats@gmail.com